Thursday 7 January 2010

Icy Value

It looks like it'll be a slow weekend with the weather as it is. The Pools Panel will be busy. The advantage of postponed games is that it allows more time to focus on the remaining fixtures. Here are my predictions for the games that haven't yet been called off.

The nap selection of the weekend for me are Fulham, expected to win by 2 at home to Portsmouth, and available at 1.78. Fulham have won 60% of their games at home with a +9 goal difference, while Portsmouth have lost 70% of their away games by a total of 11 goals. The price is presumably out of sync with my ratings because of the injuries to Zamora, Hangeland and Pantsil, but even so this looks value to me.

Other stand-outs are Burnley (2.38) at home to Stoke City, although be warned that the loss of Owen Coyle may have dampened spirits at Turf Moor. Northampton Town (2.42) are good value to beat Chesterfield, as are Leicester City (2.14) v Ipswich Town, Sunderland (2.05) v Bolton Wanderers, Leeds United (1.3) v Wycombe Wanderers

Other home wins for Arsenal, Cardiff City, Crystal Palace, Derby County, Queens Park Rangers, Norwich City, Liverpool, West Ham United and Manchester City.
Draws are the expectation at West Bromwich Albion (3.8), Coventry (3.45), Middlesbrough (3.6) and Peterhead (3.8).

Away wins for Chelsea, Aston Villa and Manchester United.

Stay warm.

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